La Liga, played Thursday, January 4th, 2024
Here is our Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Sevilla home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
Sevilla were dealt a 1-0 loss away from home at Atletico Madrid last time out in the Spanish top flight which means the hosts have now managed to collect just one win from their last 12 league matches in La Liga, while Athletic Bilbao extended their unbeaten run in the domestic top flight to eight games with a 1-0 home win against Las Palmas just before the Christmas break.
It's been a worrying lean period of results in La Liga for Sevilla whose only highlight in their previous 12 games in the domestic top flight came in the form of a 3-0 win away from home at second from bottom club, Granada, but having also slipped to five defeats and being involved in no fewer than six draws within this recent sequence of results, the prospects of a home win here for Sevilla do look a little unlikely.
However, the goals (or lack thereof) market appeals for this upcoming clash with Athletic Bilbao as seven of Sevilla's last 12 games overall have resulted in Under 2.5 goals (58%) but there is better news when looking at Sevilla's recent results on home soil at their Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
Sevilla have lost just once in their last seven games at home and includes picking up wins against Las Palmas and Almeria, while four of these last seven home games have produced two goals or less.
Athletic Bilbao secured all three points with a 1-0 home win against Las Palmas last time out which not only extended the visitors' unbeaten run in La Liga to eight games but it also maintained Athletic Bilbao's place in the top five of the La Liga table prior to this upcoming trip to the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.
Five wins within these last eight games overall have seen Athletic Bilbao register important victories over Villarreal, Celta Vigo, Rayo Vallecano, Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, although it should be noted that four of these five wins were achieved on home soil at their San Mamés Barria ground.
However, results away from home have been a lot more modest where Ernesto Valverde's side have been concerned as the visitors have managed to capture just three wins from their previous 12 outings on the road in La Liga while goals have also been in short supply with no fewer than nine of these 12 away games also resulting in Under 2.5 goals.
Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao Verdict
Both Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao head into this fixture on the back of some promising results (Sevilla at home and Athletic Bilbao overall) but both teams have been involved in low-scoring games of late as well and another low-scoring game could be on the cards here as well.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80
Other side bets worth considering:
Sevilla win @ 3.10
Correct Score: Sevilla 1-0 @ 9.00
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| A | Atletico Madrid | 1-0 |
| A | Granada | 0-3 |
| H | Getafe | 0-3 |
| A | Mallorca | 1-0 |
| H | Villarreal | 1-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Las Palmas | 1-0 |
| H | Atletico Madrid | 2-0 |
| A | Granada | 1-1 |
| H | Rayo Vallecano | 4-0 |
| A | Girona | 1-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||