Atletico Madrid v Rayo Vallecano

La Liga, played Wednesday, January 31st, 2024

Here is our Atletico Madrid v Rayo Vallecano tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Atletico Madrid home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Preview

Third placed Atletico Madrid will be aiming to make it three league wins on the trot in the Spanish top flight when they play host to lower half outfit, Rayo Vallecano, when the two teams clash at the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano with the hosts coming off a solid 2-0 home win against Valencia, while Rayo Vallecano gained a point by way of a 0-0 stalemate away from home at Real Sociedad.

Being 10 points behind second placed city rivals, Real Madrid, Wednesday night's hosts, Atletico Madrid, look like having to settle for a potential top four finish and a place in next season's Champions League and Diego Simeone's side will also have one eye over their shoulder at the chasing clubs such as Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao.

Nevertheless, Atletico Madrid have picked up three wins from their previous four games overall in La Liga which includes victories over Sevilla, Granada and Valencia respectively, two of which were at home along with keeping clean sheets as well.

The bigger picture shows Atletico Madrid have lost just four of their last 17 matches overall in La Liga whilst collecting no fewer than 12 wins in the process but it's results on home soil that look set to separate these two sides as the hosts are unbeaten in their previous 22 home games which includes keeping eight clean sheets.

Rayo Vallecano occupy 13th place in the La Liga table following a point picked up in a 0-0 draw away at sixth placed Real Sociedad but although that would have been considered a solid result for Francisco's side, the fact still remains that the visitors have managed to capture just two wins from their previous 16 matches overall in La Liga.

Wins gained over the likes of Las Palmas and Getafe have been outweighed by five losses but the prospects of a possible draw here on Wednesday night also cannot be ignored as Rayo Vallecano have been involved in no fewer than nine stalemates within these last 16 games.

Another factor to consider is the fact that Rayo Vallecano have actually performed pretty well on the road so far in this season's La Liga as the visitors have been handed just three defeats out of their last 11 outings on the road while no fewer than 10 of these 11 away games have also resulted in only one team scoring as well.

Atletico Madrid v Rayo Vallecano Verdict

Interestingly, seven out of the last nine meetings between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano have resulted in only one team scoring and therefore the goals market appeals for this upcoming clash at the Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano while the prospects of the hosts claiming a low-scoring win here look very promising indeed.

Therefore, our main bet will be BTTS No @ 1.90

Other side bets worth considering: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10

Correct Score: Atletico Madrid 1-0 @ 7.50

TIP
Medium Stake on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
55%
Draw
29%
Away
16%
Voting Is Now Closed
ATLETICO MADRID V RAYO VALLECANO HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
-163
275
475
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
100
-133
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-105
-118
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-300
240
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-450
300
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Atletico Madrid & BTTS Yes
300
Atletico Madrid & BTTS No
150
Rayo Vallecano & BTTS Yes
1100
Rayo Vallecano & BTTS No
800
Draw & BTTS Yes
450
Draw & BTTS No
800
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Atletico Madrid & Over 2.5
175
Atletico Madrid & Under 2.5
250
Rayo Vallecano & Over 2.5
1000
Rayo Vallecano & Under 2.5
850
Draw & Over 2.5
1600
Draw & Under 2.5
333
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
500
0-0
850
0-1
1400
2-0
500
1-1
650
0-2
3300
2-1
750
2-2
1800
1-2
2000
3-0
900
3-3
6600
0-3
8000
3-1
1200
1-3
5000
ATLETICO MADRID
RAYO VALLECANO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
D
W
L
W
W
LAST 5
L
L
W
L
D
ATLETICO MADRID
HValencia2-0
AGranada0-1
AGirona4-3
HSevilla1-0
HGetafe3-3
All ResultsHome Results
RAYO VALLECANO
AReal Sociedad0-0
HLas Palmas0-2
AGetafe0-2
HValencia0-1
AOsasuna1-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ATLETICO MADRID
RAYO VALLECANO
POSITION
4th
POS
13th
PLAYED
21
PLAYED
21
WON
67%
14
WON
5
24%
DRAWN
10%
2
DRAWN
9
43%
Atletico Madrid have drawn the fewest games in La Liga
Atletico Madrid are 4 games since a draw
LOST
24%
5
LOST
7
33%
SCORED
42
SCORED
18
Atletico Madrid have scored in their last 5 games
Rayo Vallecano have not scored in their last 2 games
CONCEDED
23
CONCEDED
26
Atletico Madrid have kept clean sheets in their last 2 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ATLETICO MADRID
RAYO VALLECANO
PLAYED
11
PLAYED
11
WON
91%
10
WON
4
36%
Atletico Madrid have won the most home games in La Liga
DRAWN
9%
1
DRAWN
4
36%
LOST
0%
0
LOST
3
27%
Atletico Madrid have lost the fewest home games in La Liga
SCORED
25
SCORED
9
Atletico Madrid have scored in all home games this season
CONCEDED
11
CONCEDED
8
Rayo Vallecano have conceded the fewest away goals in La Liga
Rayo Vallecano have not conceded 2 or more in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
ATLETICO MADRID
RAYO VALLECANO
PLAYED
21
PLAYED
21
BTTS
48%
10
BTTS
6
29%
Rayo Vallecano are best in La Liga for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
62%
13
OVER 2.5
6
29%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
16
OVER 1.5
13
62%
CORNERS
9.9
CORNERS
8.7
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