Chelsea v Brighton

Premier League, played Sunday, December 3rd, 2023

Here is our Chelsea v Brighton tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Chelsea home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Chelsea vs Brighton Preview

Chelsea return to the more familiar surroundings of Stamford Bridge with some relief having found themselves on the end of a heavy 4-1 thrashing at the hands of Newcastle United last weekend which has resulted in The Blues picking up just one win from their last five matches overall in the Premier League, while Brighton ended their previous winless run of six games by beating Nottingham Forest 3-2 at the City Ground.

Chelsea have yet to really get going so far in this campaign under the reign of new manager, Mauricio Pochettino, as the London club have collected a meagre total of four wins from their opening 13 games of this Premier League season and inconsistency has been a large part of Chelsea's problems to date.

Interestingly, only one of these four wins have been achieved on home soil at Stamford Bridge which came in the early stages of the season by way of a 3-0 home win against newly promoted Luton Town while wins on the road at Fulham, Burnley and Tottenham have made up the remaining victories.

The goals market could appeal here though as five of Chelsea's last 10 matches have resulted in Over 2.5 goals along with the hosts conceding in each of their last six games as well.

Brighton will feel better about themselves having ended their previously worrying six-match winless run in the Premier League with a 3-2 win away from home at Nottingham Forest last weekend and although The Seagulls slipped to losses against Aston Villa and Manchester City, the south coast club had also picked up points in draws with Liverpool, Fulham, Everton and Sheffield United.

Brighton had earlier produced an explosive start to their top flight campaign as The Seagulls had collected an impressive five wins out of their opening six games of the new term which saw the south coast club pick up wins against Luton Town 4-1, Wolves 4-1, Newcastle United 3-1, Manchester United 3-1 and a 3-1 home win against Bournemouth, so not only did Brighton produce wins but the goals were also flowing.

However, whilst the wins have deserted Brighton in recent times, the goals have continued to be present on a regular basis as no fewer than 10 of Brighton's 13 games so far this season have resulted in Over 2.5 goals and this trend could well continue at Stamford Bridge especially with a wobbling Chelsea outfit playing host.

Chelsea v Brighton Verdict

Chelsea have been far from convincing this season under Pochettino to date but whilst The Blues continue to fail to keep clean sheets along with Brighton's attacking and sometimes cavalier attitude, the goals market looks extremely promising for what should be an entertaining clash.

Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.53

Other side bets worth considering:

Chelsea win & Over 3.5 goals @ 3.60

Correct Score: Chelsea 2-1 @ 9.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Home Win
2-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
55%
Draw
29%
Away
16%
Voting Is Now Closed
CHELSEA V BRIGHTON HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
-138
320
320
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-175
125
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-167
130
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-600
400
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-300
225
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Chelsea & BTTS Yes
200
Chelsea & BTTS No
250
Brighton & BTTS Yes
550
Brighton & BTTS No
800
Draw & BTTS Yes
375
Draw & BTTS No
1600
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Chelsea & Over 3.5
275
Chelsea & Under 3.5
187
Brighton & Over 3.5
1000
Brighton & Under 3.5
500
Draw & Over 3.5
900
Draw & Under 3.5
500
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
1000
0-0
1600
0-1
1800
2-0
1000
1-1
800
0-2
2800
2-1
850
2-2
1400
1-2
1400
3-0
1600
3-3
4000
0-3
5000
3-1
1200
1-3
3300
CHELSEA
BRIGHTON
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
D
L
W
D
L
LAST 5
L
D
D
D
W
CHELSEA
ANewcastle4-1
HMan City4-4
ATottenham1-4
HBrentford0-2
HArsenal2-2
All ResultsHome Results
BRIGHTON
ANottingham Forest2-3
HSheff Utd1-1
AEverton1-1
HFulham1-1
AMan City2-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
CHELSEA
BRIGHTON
POSITION
11th
POS
8th
PLAYED
13
PLAYED
13
WON
31%
4
WON
6
46%
DRAWN
31%
4
DRAWN
4
31%
Chelsea have drawn the most games in the Premier League
Brighton have drawn the most games in the Premier League
LOST
38%
5
LOST
3
23%
Brighton are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
22
SCORED
28
Chelsea have scored in their last 3 games
Brighton have scored in all games this season
CONCEDED
20
CONCEDED
23
Chelsea have conceded in their last 6 games
Brighton have conceded in all games this season
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
CHELSEA
BRIGHTON
PLAYED
7
PLAYED
6
WON
14%
1
WON
3
50%
Chelsea have won the fewest home games in the Premier League
Chelsea are 5 games since a home win
DRAWN
43%
3
DRAWN
1
17%
Chelsea have drawn the most home games in the Premier League
LOST
43%
3
LOST
2
33%
SCORED
10
SCORED
13
Brighton have scored in all away games this season
CONCEDED
11
CONCEDED
13
Chelsea have conceded in their last 5 home games
Brighton have conceded in all away games this season
KEY STATS
CHELSEA
BRIGHTON
PLAYED
13
PLAYED
13
BTTS
54%
7
BTTS
13
100%
Brighton are best in the Premier League for both teams to score games
OVER 2.5
54%
7
OVER 2.5
10
77%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
10
OVER 1.5
13
100%
Brighton are best in the Premier League for over 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
8.7
CORNERS
8.5
Brighton are best in the Premier League for low corners games
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