Brighton v Burnley

Premier League, played Saturday, December 9th, 2023

Here is our Brighton v Burnley tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Brighton home win. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Brighton vs Burnley Preview

Brighton could climb as high as fifth place if they manage to take all three points in Saturday's clash against lowly Burnley at their AMEX Stadium after securing a 2-1 home win against Brentford in midweek which made it two wins in three games for The Seagulls, while Burnley were handed a narrow 1-0 defeat away from home at Wolves and now face a tough trip down to the south coast this weekend.

A 3-2 win away from home at Nottingham Forest was Brighton's other win in their last three games and although Roberto de Zerbi's side were dealt a 3-2 loss away from home at Chelsea in between, the hosts now return to home advantage for Saturday's encounter where they will be looking to build upon a solid looking six-match unbeaten run on their own patch.

Points picked up in draws with Liverpool, Fulham and Sheffield United have been further boosted by wins picked up against Newcastle United, Bournemouth and Brentford and these will undoubtedly give The Seagulls plenty of confidence that they can take the spoils in this upcoming clash on Saturday.

The bigger picture shows Brighton have lost just twice in their last 16 home games in the English top flight while goals have also featured on a regular basis as 12 of Brighton's 15 league matches this season have resulted in Over 2.5 goals.

Burnley slumped to a seventh defeat in eight matches in midweek when The Clarets suffered a 1-0 defeat in the west midlands against a Wolves outfit who have been desperately unlucky in recent weeks, while the Lancashire club reverted to type and now find themselves sitting second from bottom in the Premier League table.

Four of these seven defeats that have been handed to Burnley have been inflicted upon Vincent Kompany's men on their travels, losing at Brentford, Bournemouth, Arsenal and Wolves, three of which Burnley might have fancied gaining points against, so to lose all four games on the road would have been a big blow.

League wins overall have been tough for Burnley to come by upon their return to the Premier League this term as the visitors have managed to collect just two victories throughout this season's campaign to date, picking up vital wins against Luton Town and Sheffield United, the latter being a 5-0 demolition of The Blades at Turf Moor.

With just one away win all season and having lost their last four away games on the trot, it's hard to see how Burnley can avoid almost certain defeat at Brighton on Saturday.

Brighton v Burnley Verdict

Brighton have lost just once in their previous six meetings against Burnley and although the draw has figured on three occasions, The Seagulls look to be in control here.

Therefore, our main bet will be Brighton win @ 1.50

Other side bets worth considering:

Brighton win & Over 2 goals @ 2.35

Correct Score: Brighton 3-0 @ 12.00

TIP
Large Stake on
Home Win
3-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
68%
Draw
24%
Away
8%
Voting Is Now Closed
BRIGHTON V BURNLEY HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
-200
375
500
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-125
-105
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-154
120
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-500
350
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-550
350
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Brighton & BTTS Yes
200
Brighton & BTTS No
162
Burnley & BTTS Yes
900
Burnley & BTTS No
1000
Draw & BTTS Yes
450
Draw & BTTS No
1400
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Brighton & Over 2.5
110
Brighton & Under 2.5
333
Burnley & Over 2.5
800
Burnley & Under 2.5
1100
Draw & Over 2.5
1200
Draw & Under 2.5
500
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
700
0-0
1200
0-1
1800
2-0
700
1-1
850
0-2
4000
2-1
800
2-2
2000
1-2
2000
3-0
1000
3-3
6600
0-3
8000
3-1
1200
1-3
5000
BRIGHTON
BURNLEY
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
D
D
W
L
W
LAST 5
L
L
L
W
L
BRIGHTON
HBrentford2-1
AChelsea3-2
ANottingham Forest2-3
HSheff Utd1-1
AEverton1-1
All ResultsHome Results
BURNLEY
AWolves1-0
HSheff Utd5-0
HWest Ham1-2
AArsenal3-1
HCrystal Palace0-2
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
BRIGHTON
BURNLEY
POSITION
8th
POS
19th
PLAYED
15
PLAYED
15
WON
47%
7
WON
2
13%
DRAWN
27%
4
DRAWN
1
7%
Brighton have drawn the most games in the Premier League
Brighton are 3 games since a draw
Burnley are 11 games since a draw
LOST
27%
4
LOST
12
80%
Burnley have lost the most games in the Premier League
SCORED
32
SCORED
15
Brighton have scored in all games this season
CONCEDED
27
CONCEDED
33
Brighton have conceded in all games this season
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
BRIGHTON
BURNLEY
PLAYED
8
PLAYED
7
WON
50%
4
WON
1
14%
Burnley are 4 games since an away win
DRAWN
38%
3
DRAWN
1
14%
Brighton have drawn the most home games in the Premier League
Burnley are 6 games since an away draw
LOST
12%
1
LOST
5
71%
Burnley have lost 4 away games in a row
SCORED
17
SCORED
5
Brighton have scored in all home games this season
Burnley have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 away games
CONCEDED
11
CONCEDED
13
Brighton have conceded in all home games this season
Burnley have conceded in all away games this season
Brighton have not conceded 2 or more in their last 3 home games
KEY STATS
BRIGHTON
BURNLEY
PLAYED
15
PLAYED
15
BTTS
100%
15
BTTS
8
53%
Brighton are best in the Premier League for both teams to score games
OVER 2.5
80%
12
OVER 2.5
10
67%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
100%
15
OVER 1.5
13
87%
Brighton are best in the Premier League for over 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
8.8
CORNERS
10.5
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