FA Cup, played Saturday, January 6th, 2024
Here is our Stoke v Brighton tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Brighton away win. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.
Stoke City's stubborn unbeaten run was extended to six games on New Years Day when The Potters gained a point by way of a 0-0 draw at home with Ipswich Town, while Brighton were also involved in a 0-0 stalemate in the Premier League when they had to settle for a point apiece away from home at West Ham, so both teams will be keen to return to winning ways in this third round tie in the FA Cup.
Although Stoke are unbeaten in their last six games though overall, it should be noted that the hosts have been involved in no fewer than five draws within this period while their only real highlight came in the form of a 3-1 win away from home at Birmingham City towards the end of Wayne Rooney's disastrous tenure at the club.
The bigger picture also underlines the problems that Stoke City have had in terms of picking up wins in any competition as The Potters have managed to collect just the single win from their previous 12 matches and includes slipping to four defeats as well.
The draw has been the most prevalent result though where Stoke City have been concerned with no fewer than seven stalemates recorded in these last 12 games overall.
Brighton have produced a string of consistent results over a lengthy period as The Seagulls have suffered just two defeats out of their last 15 games overall in all competitions which were dealt out to Roberto de Zerbi's side by the likes of Chelsea and Arsenal in the Premier League but the south coast club have also collected seven wins within this period.
The visitors have also been involved in a European campaign this season as well as The Seagulls qualified for the Europa League so results are relative where they are concerned and this is worth bearing in mind when looking at Brighton's results away from home.
Brighton have registered just three wins from their previous 12 outings on the road in all competitions which came in the form of victories against Ajax, Nottingham Forest and AEK Athens while also being handed five defeats as well, but it is a case of horses for courses as Stoke City have not been exposed to the sort of calibre of opposition that Brighton have faced.
Stoke City v Brighton Verdict
Stoke City's struggles in terms of converting draws into actual wins has been well documented and is a statistic that could once again count against The Potters in this upcoming FA Cup fixture against their Premier League counterparts who have produced a consistent period of results against higher quality opposition.
Brighton should therefore gain the upper hand over their hosts in this third round tie.
Therefore, our main bet will be Brighton win @ 1.53
Other side bets worth considering:
Brighton win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10
Correct Score: Brighton 3-1 @ 11.00
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| H | Ipswich | 0-0 |
| A | Watford | 1-1 |
| A | Birmingham | 1-3 |
| H | Millwall | 0-0 |
| A | West Brom | 1-1 |
| A | West Ham | 0-0 |
| H | Tottenham | 4-2 |
| A | Crystal Palace | 1-1 |
| A | Arsenal | 2-0 |
| H | Marseille | 1-0 |