Serie A, played Thursday, October 17th, 2024
Here is our Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
A 2-0 loss away from home at Cuiaba last time out in the Brazilian top flight meant that Sao Paulo remained in fifth place in the Serie A standings and now four points adrift of the top four pack, while Vasco da Gama were involved in a third draw in four games when they were held to a 1-1 draw at home by Juventude in last week's action.
Sao Paulo have produced mixed results in recent weeks in the domestic top flight as the hosts have picked up five wins but have also been dealt five defeats as well within their previous 10 league matches overall in Serie A.
Four of Sao Paulo's recent five victories though have been achieved on home soil at their MorumBIS Stadium with victories gained over Flamengo, Atletico GO, Vitoria and Corinthians respectively and it's also interesting to note that four of Sao Paulo's five losses happened away from home as well.
Delving deeper into Sao Paulo's results on home soil, we find that the hosts have been handed just two defeats in their last 14 games at their MorumBIS while also racking up no fewer than 10 wins along the way as well, so Luis Zubeldia's side will be in confident mood as they prepare for the visit of Vasco da Gama.
Following an encouraging sequence of results in the Brazilian top flight which yielded an impressive three wins in five games including victories against Fluminense, Atletico PR and Vitoria, the visitors have since struggled to maintain their previous momentum in subsequent games.
Vasco da Gama have now failed to win any of their last four league matches in Serie A which includes three draws and a loss; stalemates with Flamengo, Cruzeiro and Juventude have been offset by a 1-0 loss at home to Palmeiras.
The bigger picture shows Vasco da Gama have registered just three wins within their previous 11 league matches overall and includes being handed previous back-to-back defeats away from home at Atletico MG and Gremio in 2-0 and 1-0 losses respectively.
Vasco da Gama have also struggled to gain any sort of momentum on their travels as well in the domestic top flight as Rafael Paiva's side have managed to capture just three wins in their last 17 outings on the road in Serie A and having also been dealt nine defeats within this period as well, there doesn't seem to be much hope for the visitors when they come up against a confident high-flying Sao Paulo outfit here.
Sao Paulo v Vasco da Gama Verdict
Sao Paulo have lost just once in their last six meetings against Vasco da Gama and the hosts look the more likely to take the spoils in this upcoming clash as well.
Therefore, our main bet will be Sao Paulo win @ 1.72
Other side bets worth considering:
Sao Paulo win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.25
Correct Score: Sao Paulo 1-0 @ 5.50
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| A | Cuiaba Esporte Clube | 2-0 |
| H | Corinthians | 3-1 |
| H | Internacional | 1-3 |
| A | Cruzeiro | 0-1 |
| A | Fluminense | 2-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Juventude RS | 1-1 |
| A | Cruzeiro | 1-1 |
| H | Palmeiras | 0-1 |
| A | Flamengo | 1-1 |
| A | Vitoria | 0-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||