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Avoid extra low odds, don't bet on the obvious, and look for those odds where the bookies just might have it wrong for
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Sometimes a game might look like a sure-fire bet, so you think you might just put £20 on it. Although
9 times out of 10 you might win, that 1 time you lose you'll lose £20! You've got to weigh up whether
it's really worth betting on a game like this. Always consider that if you bet on a game multiple times,
would you end up winning? Let's look at some examples :
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ManU are playing at home to Wolves and are 1/8 to win. If you put £10 on ManU you'll win only
£11.25. That's £1.25 profit. If this game were played 10 times you would stake £100. If ManU happened to
win all 10 you would win £112.50, £12.50 profit (12.5%). If ManU happened to slip up only once, and
draw to a late equaliser, you would only return 9 x £11.25 = £101.25. Is it really worth betting on
ManU? You might get lucky and win some cash on a one off, but betting on this type of game week in,
week out, only takes one loss to wipe out your profits, or put you into negative territory.
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| 2. |
Spurs are playing a tough game away at Middlesbrough. The bookies are quoting Spurs at 4/5 on
an away game because they've been on a recent streak of good form. Considering some teams don't
have a great away record, and other teams have a very good home record, is it really worth
betting on a team to win away at 4/5? Would Spurs win this game 2 out of 3 times? If they did you would
just break even with a small profit (£1 on Spurs would return £1.80 each time Spurs win at 4/5). £3 on
Spurs over 3 games at 4/5 would give you £3.60 for 2 wins out of 3. A team that wins 3 times in a row
away from home is going at a good rate! Consider this when seeing short odds away from home.
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| 3. |
Leeds are playing at home to Charlton. You think the game is going to be pretty one-sided in
favour of Leeds, so think they'll win. Leeds' odds to win are 1/3, too short for a single bet. So,
look for the value. Looking at the game's first scorer odds, Ian Harte is 12/1 to score the first goal.
Considering he takes the penalties and free-kicks for Leeds, this looks good value if you think Leeds
are hot favourites for the game and are likely to score first. Put a speculative 50p at 12/1, and you'll
return £6. Always bear in mind how one-sided a game might be to increase your chances of the team your
first scorer plays for scoring the first goal, and try pick some value in a defender/midfielder who
gets a few goals a season from penalties or free kicks.
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