Sam Winner is the outright favourite for this race but does not have great form - winning at Kempton Park in January but with falls at Exeter and Cheltenham in November and December. We cannot see why Sam Winner should be such a favourite here but at odds of only 4/1 must be respected in the betting. Shutthefrontdoor is a better prospect in our opinion having won the last 3 races, including making a massive step up from 2m to 3m1f and winning at Carlisle. Shutthefrontdoor has actually only 1 loss. Close House most recently won at Wincanton, but again steps up to this distance.
Holywell has already been tested at this distance twice - at Haydock and Warwick in November and January. As always we think it is a good bet to go with a horse that has been tested at the race distance, and with two 2nd places in those races Holywell may be worth a place bet, if not a win bet here.
Top Of The Range seems to prefer the heavy or soft going and has also not been tested at this distance.
WinDrawWin Prediction - Holywell to Win. Close House to Place.